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Simulations/Women's Chess Olympiad 2026

Women's Chess Olympiad 2026

After round 2 of 1111 rounds · 4 boards · Swisschess-results

Nearly 200 national teams battle 4v4 across 11 Swiss rounds in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, for Women's Olympiad gold.

10,000 simulations after round 2186 teams playing

Gold Medal Race

Gold-odds movers since round 1

Chance of winning gold. Bar shows the full podium out of 100%.GoldSilverBronze

Team Odds

Sorted by gold odds · click Pos or MP for the standings · select a team for its full profile

Open details
India#1
4
33.0%
3.8
Kazakhstan#3
4
14.9%
6.1
Georgia#2
3
14.3%
6.0
China#4
4
13.0%
6.5
United States of America#5
4
9.0%
7.4
Ukraine#6
4
5.5%
9.0
Azerbaijan#7
4
2.2%
11.3
France#8
4
1.7%
12.2
Poland#9
4
1.6%
12.6
Bulgaria#11
4
1.2%
12.9
Germany#10
4
1.1%
13.4
Uzbekistan#13
4
0.7%
14.2
Serbia#14
4
0.6%
14.7
Netherlands#12
4
0.5%
13.8
Switzerland#17
4
0.1%
17.3
Mongolia#15
4
0.1%
17.7
Hungary#18
4
0.1%
20.2
Armenia#16
4
0.1%
18.4
England#20
4
0.1%
20.8
Spain#19
4
0.1%
21.1
Romania#23
4
<0.1%
24.0
Israel#22
4
<0.1%
24.6
Vietnam#21
4
<0.1%
26.9
Greece#24
4
<0.1%
25.3
Slovenia#25
4
0.0%
28.0
Showing 25 of 186 teams

How it works

Board-by-board Monte Carlo

Every remaining match is played out on all four boards from the players' ratings, colour and draw tendencies, then scored 2/1/0 in match points.

Swiss pairings, simulated

Each simulation re-pairs the field round after round by score group, so future opponents are uncertain — exactly as in the real event.

Scenario explorer

Picking a result keeps only the simulations where it happened. Pick a published pairing, or a team's result in a round whose pairings aren't out yet.

Standings shown during the event are computed from match results (match points, then game points) and may differ from the official tiebreaks. For the model details see the simulation code and How Our Chess Tournament Predictions Work.

Registered but not playing: Angola, Cote d’Ivoire, Central African Republic.